Expulp Verdict

Would an AI have written this anyway?

Paste an article and see, claim by claim, what it adds that readers couldn't get from an AI or from what's already online.

Yours An AI would say it Already online Known
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Examples:
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  1. Paste or link

    Any language, 120 to 6,000 words.

  2. Checked claim by claim

    Each statement is weighed against what's already known and what's already published.

  3. See what's yours

    Your own contributions, credibility and effort, with the reasons.

    Your claims

      Quick reads are free. Full verdicts start at a dollar.

      Quick read

      Free

      What's already online, sentence by sentence. How distinctive the wording is. Hidden characters. A provisional score. Unlimited.

      Read a piece

      Full verdict

      $1 each, or 10 for $5, 50 for $20

      Every claim marked as yours, known, or already online, with its credibility, the effort the piece shows, and a verdict you can share. First three free.

      API and bulk

      Same prices

      Score drafts before publishing, audit an archive, gate submissions. Verdicts bought here work on the API too. Batch mode and publisher plans are next.

      API reference

      Verdicts never expire. Payments by Stripe: cards, Apple Pay and Google Pay.

      Writing or publishing every week? Monthly plans.

      Writer

      $9/month

      150 verdicts a month. Emailed reports and share cards.

      Pro

      $29/month

      600 verdicts a month. Full API access and batch mode.

      Publisher

      $99/month

      3,000 verdicts a month. Badge and plugin, team keys.

      Monthly verdicts are added on each payment and roll over. Cancel any time from your account.

      Detectable isn't the question. Worth reading is.

      AI detectors and watermarks ask who typed the words. Readers, editors and search engines ask whether the piece adds anything. Verdict measures the second.

      Watermarks prove a tool was used, not that the work is empty

      Anthropic began watermarking Claude's text in August 2026, with a statistical signal in word choice rather than hidden characters. Google's SynthID detector opened to the public in October 2026, for images, video and audio.

      Neither tells you whether the ideas are the author's. A watermark survives in a piece a writer merely proofread with AI, and vanishes from an AI draft that was reworded by hand. Anthropic's own explainer lists the cases where the mark breaks down and says it cannot prove authorship. For text, no vendor offers a public detector yet: Anthropic has announced one, Google's covers other media, and OpenAI marks images only.

      Sources: BleepingComputer on Anthropic's text watermark, The Decoder on the announced detection API, eWeek on the SynthID Detector launch, Google's SynthID documentation.

      AI detectors measure style, and style is the wrong target

      Detectors are classifiers trained on how machines tend to phrase things. Vendors report near-zero error rates on their own benchmarks; independent tests find accuracy falling on edited or paraphrased text.

      A Stanford study found seven detectors flagged the majority of essays by non-native English speakers as machine-written while classifying native speakers' essays almost perfectly. As more people write with AI assistance, "was a model involved" stops separating good work from filler. A piece can be written entirely by hand and say nothing new, or drafted with help and carry a real finding.

      Sources: Liang et al., GPT detectors are biased against non-native English writers (2023), Pangram Labs technical report on its classifier (2024).

      Google rates on originality and effort, and so does Verdict

      Google's Search Quality Rater Guidelines tell raters to give the lowest rating when the main content is copied, paraphrased or AI-generated with little effort, originality or added value. Verdict is anchored on the same criteria.

      The guidelines define originality as content "not available on other websites" and effort as the extent to which "a human being actively worked to create satisfying content". They name the tells of paraphrased content: only commonly known information, heavy overlap with reference sites, or a summary of one page with nothing added. Google also holds a patent on scoring a document by the information it adds beyond what the reader has already seen.

      Sources: Google Search Quality Rater Guidelines (PDF, sections 3.2 and 4.6), Search Engine Land on the January 2025 update, Google patent US20200349181A1, contextual estimation of link information gain.

      The research behind measuring what a text adds

      Recent work shows that language models converge on the same points and that human writing adds more new ideas per piece, and gives ways to measure novelty and factual support claim by claim.

      Wenger and Kenett found answers from different models far more alike than answers from different people. Lu et al. introduced a Creativity Index that measures how much of a text can be rebuilt from existing web text, and found human writing scored far higher. Document-level novelty metrics such as NovAScore score a piece by its atomic facts, and Google DeepMind's long-form factuality work checks each fact against search. Verdict draws on this line of research without being a copy of any one method.

      Sources: Wenger and Kenett, creative homogeneity across LLMs (2025), Lu et al., AI as Humanity's Salieri, ICLR 2025, NovAScore, COLING 2025, Wei et al., long-form factuality in LLMs (2024), Measuring information potential in text corpora (2025).

      Where Verdict fits

      Expulp VerdictAI detectorsPlagiarism checkersSEO content graders
      The question answeredDoes this piece add anything beyond what's known and published?Was this written by a machine?Is this text copied?Does it cover what already ranks?
      Still meaningful when people write with AI helpYesNo, by designYesYes
      Reasons, claim by claimYesSentence-level probabilityMatched passagesTerm coverage
      Catches paraphrased ideas, not only copied wordsYesNot its jobRarelyNo
      Rewards invented facts as "new"No, unverified figures earn littleNot scoredNot scoredOften, difference reads as gain
      LanguagesAnyMostly EnglishManySeveral

      Examples of each category: GPTZero, Pangram and Originality.ai; Copyscape and Turnitin; Surfer and Clearscope. Based on each product's public documentation, October 2026. Detail: vs AI detectors, vs plagiarism checkers, vs SEO graders, vs writing assistants.

      Expulp VerdictGrammarlyJasperNotion AI, ChatGPT
      What it does for a draftTells you whether it was worth writing, and which partsFixes grammar, tone and clarityGenerates marketing copyDrafts, rewrites and summarises
      Knows what an AI would have said anywayYes, that's the pointNoNoNo
      Checks the published web for the same ideasYesPlagiarism check on words onlyNoNo
      Weighs the credibility of each claimYesNoNoNo
      Best usedBefore you publish, and on what you've already publishedWhile editingWhile draftingWhile drafting

      Verdict complements writing tools rather than replacing them: write with whatever you like, then find out what the result adds.

      ExpulpMediumSubstackLinkedInX
      What gets a piece seenOriginality: what it adds beyond AI and the webEngagement and reading time, plus curator BoostsSubscriptions and recommendationsEngagementEngagement
      Checks whether a piece adds anything newYes, claim by claimNoNoNoNo
      Shows writers what an AI would have said anywayYes, on every pieceNoNoNoNo
      Popularity counters drive rankingNoYesYesYesYes

      Based on each platform's public documentation as of October 2026.

      Write what an AI couldn't? Expulp is being built for you.

      A publishing network where reach follows originality, not volume. Founding editors get early access, free verdicts and a say in how ideas are ranked.

      The same verdict, as an API

      Score drafts before you publish, audit a back catalogue, or gate submissions. Your verdicts work on the API with the key from your account.

      API reference

      # Start an analysis
      curl -X POST https://verdict.expulp.com/v1/analyses \
        -H "X-API-Key: oi_your_key" \
        -H "Content-Type: application/json" \
        -d '{"url": "https://example.com/my-essay"}'
      # → {"id": "Q2x…", "status": "running"}
      
      # Fetch the result (or stream /events)
      curl https://verdict.expulp.com/v1/analyses/Q2x…
      # → {"status": "done", "result": {"score": 74, "tier": …,
      #      "claims": […], "sources": […], "verdict": …}}